The Luck of the 13th
Feel that this February’s Friday the 13th has caused you bad luck? Yes, Friday the 13th has been said to be an unlucky day where abnormally unlucky things can happen. Maybe some of you lost your keys, were stuck in a longer-than-usual traffic jam or got one too many paper cuts at the office but, perhaps, we should be thankful that those small misfortunes are all that has happened to us on such an unlucky day.
Come April 13th--Friday the 13th--2029, we will all be counting our blessings that those minor mishaps are the only ones bestowed upon us. On this day millions of people will step outside of their homes, look up and be astonished at their good luck. This day will bring a light, gliding across the sky that will be brighter than most stars seen by the naked eye, and faster than many satellites orbiting around Earth.
You’re probably asking yourself, “What’s so special and lucky about that”? Well that luck is asteroid 2004 MN4, not hitting Earth.
For a while, astronomers thought that it might. Back in 2004 on Christmas Eve, Steve Chesley, Paul Chodas and Don Yeomans at NASA’s Near Earth Object Program office concluded there was a 1 in 60 chance that 2004 MN4 would collide with Earth on April 13, 2029.
The asteroid is estimated to be about 320 meters wide, which as Chodas stated, would be “enough to punch through Earth’s atmosphere, devastating a region of, say, Texas, if it hit land, or causing widespread tsunamis if it hit ocean.”
Instead, what we’re going to have is a jaw-dropping close encounter. Astronomers ruled out a collision when they discovered pictures of the asteroid taken, inadvertently, before the asteroid’s official discovery. The extra data surfaced from these pictures was enough to conclude no such collision was going to happen.
However, on April 13, 2029, the asteroid will soar past Earth only 18,600 miles above the ground closer than most satellites, which orbit at 22,300 miles above the ground. Jon Giorgini of NASA’s Near Earth Object Program said “at closest approach, the asteroid will shine like a 3rd magnitude star, visible to the unaided eye from Africa, Europe and Asia—even though city lights.” This is extremely uncommon. “Close encounters by objects as large as 2004 MN4 are currently thought to occur at 1000-year intervals, on average.”
So next Friday the 13th, take those small unlucky happenings and be thankful that those are all that’s coming your way. Friday the 13th might not be as bad as we all thought.